Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Büderich · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Büderich are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Monheim are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Büderich hold a 5.5-point power-rating edge (49.2 v 43.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.7% in the Oberliga - Niederrhein, while Büderich holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Büderich
Probability
51.3%
Model confidence
8.7%
Büderich has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60