GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/5/2026, 11:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

SpVgg Greuther Fürth · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Bayreuth are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while SpVgg Greuther Fürth are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Bayreuth hold a 10.5-point power-rating edge (69.5 v 59.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while SpVgg Greuther Fürth holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

Probability

36.5%

Model confidence

36.5%

SpVgg Greuther Fürth has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BayreuthWWLDL

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
SpVgg Greuther FürthWLWLD

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
BayreuthSpVgg Greuther Fürth
33.3Attack90.0
93.3Defence36.7
73.3Form56.7
69.5Power59.0
1.87xG1.96
View match centre →