Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Memmingen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Bayreuth are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 3.20 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Memmingen are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Memmingen hold a 24.4-point power-rating edge (65.7 v 90.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.6% in the Regionalliga - Bayern, while Memmingen holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Memmingen
Probability
38.6%
Model confidence
38.6%
Memmingen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 16 · GA 2 · avg 3.20/0.40
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00