Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bayreuth · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Bayreuth are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Gebenbach are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Bayreuth hold a 53.2-point power-rating edge (69.5 v 16.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.3% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Bayreuth holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bayreuth
Probability
58.7%
Model confidence
11.3%
Bayreuth has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80