Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bayreuth · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Bayreuth are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Ansbach are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Bayreuth hold a 23.5-point power-rating edge (69.5 v 46.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.0% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Bayreuth holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 79% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bayreuth
Probability
44.0%
Model confidence
44.0%
Bayreuth has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 13 · GA 10 · avg 2.60/2.00