GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 8/7/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bayern München · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

Bayern München are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Aston Villa are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Bayern München hold a 33.4-point power-rating edge (76.4 v 43.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.0% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Bayern München holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bayern München

Probability

53.0%

Model confidence

53.0%

Bayern München has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bayern MünchenWLWWW

GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Aston VillaWLLWW

GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Bayern MünchenAston Villa
86.7Attack66.7
66.7Defence38.1
80.0Form28.6
76.4Power43.0
3.04xG1.37
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