Bayern Münchenvs
Aston Villa
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 8/7/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bayern München · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Bayern München are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Aston Villa are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Bayern München hold a 33.4-point power-rating edge (76.4 v 43.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.0% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Bayern München holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bayern München
Probability
53.0%
Model confidence
53.0%
Bayern München has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80
GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60