GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 8/8/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fernwald · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Bayern Alzenau are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDD), averaging 3.80 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Fernwald are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Fernwald hold a 20.7-point power-rating edge (40.2 v 60.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.8% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Fernwald holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fernwald

Probability

41.3%

Model confidence

11.8%

Fernwald has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bayern AlzenauLWWDD

GF 19 · GA 12 · avg 3.80/2.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
FernwaldWLDLD

GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Bayern AlzenauFernwald
44.4Attack44.4
44.4Defence77.8
22.2Form55.6
40.2Power60.9
1.48xG1.68
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