GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 8/8/2026, 1:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Lowconfidence

Bayer Leverkusen are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Sevilla are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and bayer Leverkusen hold a 38.7-point power-rating edge (88.7 v 50.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Friendlies Clubs, favouring a draw with 9.8% confidence, a 66% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

22.9%

Model confidence

9.8%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bayer LeverkusenDLWWL

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
SevillaLLWWW

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Bayer LeverkusenSevilla
66.7Attack50.0
100.0Defence50.0
100.0Form50.0
88.7Power50.0
2.16xG1.36
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