GGOALVIO

USA · NWSL Women · 7/18/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

North Carolina Courage W · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Bay FC W are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while North Carolina Courage W are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and North Carolina Courage W hold a 13.7-point power-rating edge (42.1 v 55.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.1% in the NWSL Women, while North Carolina Courage W holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

North Carolina Courage W

Probability

49.1%

Model confidence

13.1%

North Carolina Courage W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bay FC WWDLLL

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
North Carolina Courage WLWWWW

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Bay FC WNorth Carolina Courage W
35.1Attack59.3
52.6Defence51.9
33.3Form55.6
42.1Power55.8
1.04xG1.60
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