GGOALVIO

USA · NWSL Women · 7/30/2026, 2:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

NJ/NY Gotham FC W · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Bay FC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while NJ/NY Gotham FC W are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and NJ/NY Gotham FC W hold a 24.5-point power-rating edge (42.1 v 66.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 19.9% in the NWSL Women, while NJ/NY Gotham FC W holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

NJ/NY Gotham FC W

Probability

51.7%

Model confidence

19.9%

NJ/NY Gotham FC W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bay FCLWWDL

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
NJ/NY Gotham FC WDWWWL

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Bay FCNJ/NY Gotham FC W
35.1Attack43.3
52.6Defence78.3
33.3Form71.7
42.1Power66.6
0.54xG1.21
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