GGOALVIO

USA · NWSL Women · 8/2/2026, 12:45:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Seattle Reign FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Bay FC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Seattle Reign FC are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Seattle Reign FC hold a 9.7-point power-rating edge (42.1 v 51.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.7% in the NWSL Women, while Seattle Reign FC holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Seattle Reign FC

Probability

34.7%

Model confidence

34.7%

Seattle Reign FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bay FCLLWWD

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Seattle Reign FCWLWLL

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Bay FCSeattle Reign FC
35.1Attack42.6
52.6Defence57.4
33.3Form50.0
42.1Power51.8
0.93xG1.14
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