Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bavois · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Bavois are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Zürich II are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 2.80 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 49.6 against 49.1. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.2% in the 1. Liga Promotion, while Bavois holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bavois
Probability
48.2%
Model confidence
8.2%
Bavois has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 3 · avg 2.80/0.60
GF 14 · GA 13 · avg 2.80/2.60