Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bavois · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Bavois are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Meyrin are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 10 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Bavois hold a 30.6-point power-rating edge (46.5 v 15.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.8% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Bavois holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bavois
Probability
45.8%
Model confidence
45.8%
Bavois has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80