Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bavois · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Bavois are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Chênois are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 46.5 against 47.8. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.2% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Bavois holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bavois
Probability
37.2%
Model confidence
37.2%
Bavois has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20
GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20