Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Baunatal · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Baunatal are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while FC Gießen are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 4.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Gießen hold a 7.0-point power-rating edge (29.5 v 36.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.8% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Baunatal holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Baunatal
Probability
40.0%
Model confidence
11.8%
Baunatal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00
GF 3 · GA 22 · avg 0.60/4.40