GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 8/11/2026, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bath City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Bath City are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Plymouth Parkway are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 4.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Plymouth Parkway hold a 20.6-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 44.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.6% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Bath City holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bath City

Probability

40.8%

Model confidence

12.6%

Bath City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bath CityWLWLW

GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Plymouth ParkwayWWWDW

GF 21 · GA 8 · avg 4.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Bath CityPlymouth Parkway
0.0Attack47.6
66.7Defence46.0
0.0Form38.1
23.7Power44.2
1.58xG1.38
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