Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bath City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Bath City are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Plymouth are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Plymouth hold a 2.2-point power-rating edge (66.0 v 68.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Bath City holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bath City
Probability
38.5%
Model confidence
38.5%
Bath City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00
GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20