Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bumprom · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
9%
LowconfidenceBATE II are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.40 conceded, while Bumprom are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and bumprom hold a 25.8-point power-rating edge (30.4 v 56.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely result in the 1. Division, favouring Bumprom with 9.1% confidence, a 63% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bumprom
Probability
71.9%
Model confidence
9.1%
Bumprom has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BATE IILLLLL
GF 5 · GA 17 · avg 1.00/3.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
BumpromDLDLL
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
BATE IIBumprom
40.7Attack61.1
20.4Defence55.6
20.4Form51.9
30.4Power56.2
1.09xG2.91