GGOALVIO

Belarus · Premier League · 4/5/2026, 12:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Bate Borisov are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Baranovichi are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Baranovichi hold a 3.0-point power-rating edge (36.0 v 39.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.2% in the Premier League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

39.2%

Model confidence

39.2%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bate BorisovDWDLD

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
BaranovichiLDLLD

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Bate BorisovBaranovichi
21.4Attack37.5
59.5Defence37.5
21.4Form33.3
36.0Power39.0
1.00xG0.84
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