GGOALVIO

Belarus · Premier League · 6/21/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Bate Borisov are 0W-5D-0L in their last 5 (DDDDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Arsenal are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Arsenal hold a 7.1-point power-rating edge (36.0 v 43.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.3% in the Premier League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

41.3%

Model confidence

41.3%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bate BorisovDDDDD

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 0/5
ArsenalWWLLL

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Bate BorisovArsenal
21.4Attack37.0
59.5Defence46.3
21.4Form38.9
36.0Power43.1
0.84xG0.84
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