GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa Conference League · 7/16/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

AF Elbasani · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Bate Borisov are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while AF Elbasani are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and AF Elbasani hold a 15.1-point power-rating edge (33.2 v 48.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.2% in the UEFA Europa Conference League, while AF Elbasani holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

AF Elbasani

Probability

36.2%

Model confidence

36.2%

AF Elbasani has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bate BorisovDLLLD

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
AF ElbasaniDWWWL

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Bate BorisovAF Elbasani
16.7Attack16.7
50.0Defence83.3
25.0Form33.3
33.2Power48.3
1.11xG1.25
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