BastiavsLe Puy Foot

Bastia are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Le Puy Foot are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Le Puy Foot hold a 73.3-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 88.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.1% in the Ligue 3, while Le Puy Foot holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.