BasavsLokomotivi Tbilisi

Basa are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 3.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Lokomotivi Tbilisi are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 7 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Lokomotivi Tbilisi hold a 2.1-point power-rating edge (57.3 v 59.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.8% in the David Kipiani Cup, while Basa holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.