Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Basa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Basa are 2W-0D-1L in their last 3 (WLW), averaging 2.67 scored and 1.67 conceded, while Gareji are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 8 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Gareji hold a 2.0-point power-rating edge (57.3 v 59.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.4% in the David Kipiani Cup, while Basa holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Basa
Probability
39.4%
Model confidence
39.4%
Basa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 2.67/1.67
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20