Barry Townvs
Cardiff MET
COMPLETEDWales · Premier League · 8/15/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Barry Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Barry Town are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Cardiff MET are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Cardiff MET hold a 9.5-point power-rating edge (83.3 v 92.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.5% in the Premier League, while Barry Town holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Barry Town
Probability
38.0%
Model confidence
11.5%
Barry Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40
GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60