GGOALVIO

Wales · Premier League · 8/15/2026, 11:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Barry Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Barry Town are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Cardiff MET are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Cardiff MET hold a 9.5-point power-rating edge (83.3 v 92.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.5% in the Premier League, while Barry Town holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Barry Town

Probability

38.0%

Model confidence

11.5%

Barry Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Barry TownWWLWW

GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Cardiff METWWDDW

GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Barry TownCardiff MET
83.3Attack100.0
50.0Defence83.3
100.0Form100.0
83.3Power92.8
1.64xG1.59
View match centre →