GGOALVIO

Colombia · Primera B · 3/4/2026, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Union Magdalena · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Barranquilla are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Union Magdalena are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Union Magdalena hold a 15.1-point power-rating edge (46.9 v 62.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.1% in the Primera B, while Union Magdalena holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Union Magdalena

Probability

44.1%

Model confidence

44.1%

Union Magdalena has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BarranquillaWLLWW

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Union MagdalenaWWWLW

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
BarranquillaUnion Magdalena
40.6Attack50.7
58.0Defence71.0
39.1Form60.9
46.9Power62.0
0.72xG1.22
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