GGOALVIO

Argentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 4/2/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Barracas Central are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Sarmiento Junin are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Barracas Central hold a 7.4-point power-rating edge (53.3 v 45.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.1% in the Liga Profesional Argentina, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 18% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

43.1%

Model confidence

43.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Barracas CentralDWWDW

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Sarmiento JuninWLDWL

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Barracas CentralSarmiento Junin
30.0Attack35.0
71.7Defence53.3
50.0Form41.7
53.3Power45.9
0.93xG0.54
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