Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Barra are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Brusque are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Brusque hold a 13.9-point power-rating edge (43.6 v 57.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.2% in the Serie C, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
39.2%
Model confidence
39.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60