Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Barnsley · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Barnsley are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Wigan are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 45.3 against 45.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.1% in the League Cup, while Barnsley holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Barnsley
Probability
41.2%
Model confidence
13.1%
Barnsley has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20