Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Barnsley · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Barnsley are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Bromley are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Barnsley hold a 6.3-point power-rating edge (56.3 v 50.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.9% in the League One, while Barnsley holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Barnsley
Probability
50.3%
Model confidence
11.9%
Barnsley has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00