Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Barnet · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Barnet are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLDDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Bromley are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Barnet hold a 9.3-point power-rating edge (81.6 v 72.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.9% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Barnet holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Barnet
Probability
36.9%
Model confidence
36.9%
Barnet has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 5 · GA 16 · avg 1.00/3.20