Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Europa Fc · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Barcelona are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Europa Fc are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Europa Fc hold a 42.0-point power-rating edge (44.5 v 86.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.6% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Europa Fc holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Europa Fc
Probability
42.6%
Model confidence
42.6%
Europa Fc has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80