GGOALVIO

Belarus · Premier League · 5/8/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Arsenal · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Baranovichi are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Arsenal are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Arsenal hold a 4.1-point power-rating edge (39.0 v 43.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.0% in the Premier League, while Arsenal holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Arsenal

Probability

35.5%

Model confidence

14.0%

Arsenal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BaranovichiDLLLL

GF 2 · GA 13 · avg 0.40/2.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
ArsenalDDWDW

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
BaranovichiArsenal
37.5Attack37.0
37.5Defence46.3
33.3Form38.9
39.0Power43.1
1.28xG1.28
View match centre →