Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bangor · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Bangor are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Ards are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Bangor hold an 8.6-point power-rating edge (55.7 v 47.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.9% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Bangor holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bangor
Probability
39.9%
Model confidence
39.9%
Bangor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 13 · avg 2.20/2.60
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00