BG Pathum UnitedvsAston Villa

BG Pathum United are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Aston Villa are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and BG Pathum United hold a 54.0-point power-rating edge (97.0 v 43.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while BG Pathum United holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.