Bamber Bridgevs
Chorley
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 7/4/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chorley · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Bamber Bridge are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Chorley are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Chorley hold a 28.2-point power-rating edge (35.6 v 63.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Chorley holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Chorley
Probability
43.5%
Model confidence
43.5%
Chorley has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00