Baltikavs
Spartak Moscow
SCHEDULEDRussia · Premier League · 8/16/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Spartak Moscow · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Baltika are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Spartak Moscow are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Spartak Moscow hold a 24.9-point power-rating edge (64.7 v 89.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.7% in the Premier League, while Spartak Moscow holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Spartak Moscow
Probability
37.6%
Model confidence
13.7%
Spartak Moscow has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00