GGOALVIO

Russia · Premier League · 8/16/2026, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Spartak Moscow · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Baltika are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Spartak Moscow are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Spartak Moscow hold a 24.9-point power-rating edge (64.7 v 89.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.7% in the Premier League, while Spartak Moscow holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Spartak Moscow

Probability

37.6%

Model confidence

13.7%

Spartak Moscow has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BaltikaWLWLL

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Spartak MoscowLWWWD

GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
BaltikaSpartak Moscow
55.6Attack83.3
66.7Defence83.3
66.7Form100.0
64.7Power89.7
1.28xG1.36
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