Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Baltika · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Baltika are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Ordabasy are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Baltika hold a 3.4-point power-rating edge (68.2 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.0% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Baltika holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Baltika
Probability
49.0%
Model confidence
49.0%
Baltika has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40