Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Baltika · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Baltika are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Fakel are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (WDDDD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Baltika hold a 12.6-point power-rating edge (68.2 v 55.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.1% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Baltika holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Baltika
Probability
44.1%
Model confidence
44.1%
Baltika has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60