Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Baltika · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Baltika are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Dynamo are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 3.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Baltika hold a 28.2-point power-rating edge (64.7 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.3% in the Premier League, while Baltika holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Baltika
Probability
50.9%
Model confidence
13.3%
Baltika has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 3 · avg 2.80/0.60
GF 18 · GA 3 · avg 3.60/0.60