Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ballkani · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Ballkani are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Bohemians are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Ballkani hold a 12.3-point power-rating edge (58.8 v 46.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.7% in the UEFA Europa Conference League, while Ballkani holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ballkani
Probability
46.7%
Model confidence
46.7%
Ballkani has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
GF 6 · GA 1 · avg 1.20/0.20