Balkan BotevgradvsSeptemvri Simitli

Balkan Botevgrad are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Septemvri Simitli are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Septemvri Simitli hold a 65.0-point power-rating edge (21.5 v 86.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Third League - Southwest, favouring a draw with 12.4% confidence, a 56% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.