Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Perth · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3
Balcatta are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Perth are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 2.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Perth hold a 26.0-point power-rating edge (32.4 v 58.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 68.6% in the Western Australia NPL, while Perth holds the strongest overall chance at 69% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 82% BTTS chance and 91% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Perth
Probability
68.6%
Model confidence
68.6%
Perth has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60
GF 14 · GA 10 · avg 2.80/2.00