Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bahia W · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Bahia W are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Gremio W are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Bahia W hold a 6.2-point power-rating edge (60.8 v 54.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.2% in the Brasileiro Women, while Bahia W holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bahia W
Probability
36.2%
Model confidence
36.2%
Bahia W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00