BahiavsVasco DA Gama

Bahia are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Vasco DA Gama are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Bahia hold a 10.1-point power-rating edge (53.6 v 43.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.8% in the Serie A, while Bahia holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.