BahiavsFluminense

Bahia are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Fluminense are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Fluminense hold a 2.2-point power-rating edge (53.9 v 56.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.8% in the Serie A, while Bahia holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.