BahiavsChapecoense-sc

Bahia are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Chapecoense-sc are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Bahia hold a 24.5-point power-rating edge (53.9 v 29.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 68.0% in the Serie A, while Bahia holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.