GGOALVIO

Wales · FAW Championship · 8/9/2026, 1:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Swansea University · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Baglan Dragons are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLD), averaging 0.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Swansea University are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 6 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Swansea University hold a 73.8-point power-rating edge (26.2 v 100.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.3% in the FAW Championship, while Swansea University holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Swansea University

Probability

51.3%

Model confidence

51.3%

Swansea University has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Baglan DragonsDDLLD

GF 1 · GA 10 · avg 0.20/2.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Swansea UniversityW

GF 3 · GA 0 · avg 3.00/0.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 1/1
Baglan DragonsSwansea University
0.0Attack100.0
50.0Defence100.0
16.7Form100.0
26.2Power100.0
1.32xG2.08
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