Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Muttenz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Baden are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Muttenz are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Muttenz hold a 51.6-point power-rating edge (28.7 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.7% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Muttenz holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Muttenz
Probability
46.7%
Model confidence
46.7%
Muttenz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 13 · GA 9 · avg 2.60/1.80