Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Baden · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Baden are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Gossau are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Baden hold a 13.4-point power-rating edge (28.7 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.2% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Baden holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Baden
Probability
36.2%
Model confidence
36.2%
Baden has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40
GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40